WEATHER UPDATE 10/02
Super Typhoon PARMA (PEPENG) maintains its 240-kph Category 4 strength as it barrels closer to the Bicol Peninsula.
*Residents and visitors along the Bicol Region and the rest of Luzon should closely monitor the progress of PARMA.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: PARMA is expected to maintain its fast WNW track across the warm Philippine Sea and further intensify reaching to Category 5 strength with winds of 260 kph within the next 24 hours...and shall pass about 185 km. NE of Virac, Catanduanes...200 km. NE Gota Beach Resort, Caramoan...and 265 km. NE of Metro Naga/CWC tomorrow afternoon around 2PM. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system slowing down as it approaches the coast of Isabela and Cagayan and make landfall over the area on Saturday afternoon, Oct. 03. PARMA shall slowly traverse Northern Cagayan for about 24 hours and shall move out into the Balintang Channel Monday afternoon Oct 05 and may continue at a very slow pace.Please be aware that long-range forecast changes every now and then. Continued monitoring on this potential typhoon is a must for disaster preparedness agencies.
+ Effects: PARMA's circulation continues to move faster across the Philippine Sea w/ its outer (feeder) bands continues to affect Eastern Visayas and the Bicol Region including Northern Mindanao - passing rains, squalls, thunderstorms w/ light to moderate winds may be expected along these areas today. Tropical Storm conditions w/ winds not exceeding 100 kph together with light to moderate to sometimes heavy rains can be expected along the eastern coast of Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon, & Camarines Provinces tomorrow. While, the flood-stricken areas of Central and Southern Luzon including Metro Manila will be under the typhoon's outer bands tomorrow. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 150 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along PARMA's rainbands...with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm (very heavy rain) near the center of PARMA. People living around the slopes of Mayon Volcano in Albay & of Bulusan Volcano in Sorsogon - especially along the areas where possible MUDFLOWS (LAHAR) FLOWS (mixture of volcanic mud and water) are located must stay alert as moderate to heavy rains associated by this system are likely to affect the area beginning today. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 13 to 18 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the eastern coastal areas of Bicol Region, Samar & Eastern Luzon. Extreme damage is likely on this type of storm surge.